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The Future of CIOs (Part 1/2): Crossroads Ahead

As technology continues to redefine the way businesses operate, one role in particular is at a critical turning point: the CIO. In a recent conversation with a friend from BHP, we discussed the shifting dynamics of the CIO, a topic I explored in my previous article, "As Gartner Report Hints: The Future of the CIO Role is Changing – Are We Ready?" His insights aligned with what I’ve been reflecting on for my next book, "The Convergence of CIO and COO Roles in the Age of AI 2.0."

Our discussion raised several key questions: What determines whether a CIO thrives in this evolving landscape or gets subsumed by other roles? How crucial is business acumen? Will the role evolve, merge, or even split between different functions?

My friend made a compelling point, it all comes down to the business acumen of the CIO. In today’s AI-driven world, the CIO’s role isn’t just about managing technology. It’s about leveraging technology to drive business strategy and operational efficiency. He noted that many CIOs aren’t particularly business-savvy, which could drastically reshape the future of the role.


Business Acumen: The Defining Factor

The Evolving Role of the CIO

In many organizations today, the reporting structure of the CIO varies. Some still report to the CFO, maintaining a legacy of managing IT budgets and operational efficiencies. While it is more common to see CIOs reporting directly to the CEO, highlighting IT’s critical role in driving innovation and growth. In some cases, CIOs report directly or indirectly to the COO or CTO, reflecting how the role is increasingly intertwined with business operations, rather than merely handling IT services.


The Outlook for CIOs

The future of CIOs will depend on their ability to adapt. Those with strong business skills will take on more strategic roles, while others may see their responsibilities diluted. Here are three potential paths:


  • Convergence of CIO and COO Roles: As one of the notions from my next book, Modern day ERP systems have embedded operational workflows, forcing CIOs and COOs to collaborate more closely. As AI 2.0 becomes more integral to these processes, it will not just further but also to accelerate it so it’s conceivable that the CIO will take on responsibilities traditionally held by the COO, or vice versa. This could lead to a hybrid executive role where the boundaries between operations and IT blur, overseeing both functions.


  • Role Fragmentation: Conversely, CIOs who lack business insight may see their responsibilities fragmented and shifted to the COO or CTO, as their limited business acumen restricts their ability to contribute to overall strategy in the fast-paced AI 2.0 era. In this scenario, the CTO would oversee technological infrastructure, digital transformation, and innovation, while the COO manages the operational aspects of the business that heavily rely on technology. Additionally, new leadership roles could emerge from the IT segment, as seen with JPMorgan Chase’s creation of a Head of AI position, overseeing AI strategy, operations, and governance. Which could further reduce the scope of the CIO role.


These potential division raises an important question: Is the CIO role evolving into something more, or is it fragmenting into distinct parts handled by different executives? As my friend suggested, the answer likely depends on the individual CIO’s business acumen—their ability to bridge both technology and business strategy—and how AI 2.0 accelerates this shift.


Business Acumen for CIOs

CIOs with Business Acumen Thrive

CIOs with a grasp of business fundamentals—such as profit margins, operational processes, and market positioning—can no longer be considered strategic leaders simply by aligning IT initiatives with business objectives. In today’s world, that’s just the minimum expectation.

With the AI 2.0 revolution on the horizon, CIOs must come prepared with strategies not only for adopting new technologies but also for leading the cultural and organizational shifts that accompany them. A successful CIO needs a holistic understanding of business operations. They must guide and assist business units in this transition, ensuring that technology not only supports but also accelerates business transformation.

In tomorrow’s world, simply implementing technology solutions won’t be enough. CIOs must actively shape the organization’s future by leading AI adoption with a clear vision of its impact on business, operations, and the workforce. This level of business acumen will position CIOs as true leaders driving change across the company.


CIOs Without Business Acumen Risk Being Sidelined

On the other hand, CIOs who focus solely on technology without understanding how it fits into the broader business strategy risk being sidelined. In an AI-driven world, where technology and operations are increasingly intertwined, the impact of technology goes beyond productivity into workforce structures and business models.

CIOs who can’t understand the nature of the business and its strategic priorities may find their influence fading. Their responsibilities could become fragmented or even absorbed by other functions like the COO or CTO.

In short, as AI 2.0 reshapes industries, the CIO’s relevance will depend on their ability to lead not just through technology, but through cultural and organizational change. Without this, CIOs may see their influence diminish as other executives who can handle holistic transformation will take over. 


The CIO’s Future—Structural or Situational?

As AI 2.0 continues to reshape industries, the CIO’s role is evolving rapidly. However, the direction of this evolution may be less uniform than initially thought. For business-savvy CIOs, there’s a bright future in strategic leadership, possibly merging with the COO role. For others, the risk is becoming more operationally focused, losing strategic influence.

This evolution presents a pivotal moment for both CIOs and board members alike: Should the CIO adapt and lead, or be relegated to a supporting function? More importantly, what do board members expect from their CIO? Is it the right expectation in the context of AI-driven transformation? As AI becomes a core driver of business strategy, leadership must evaluate whether their CIO is ready to take on expanded responsibilities—or if a new kind of leader is required to guide AI-driven initiatives.


Ultimately, the future of the CIO may depend on both structural shifts in the organization and situational adaptability. As AI 2.0 accelerates these changes, the challenge will be whether CIOs can navigate this intersection between technology and business strategy, or if their role will fragment as other leaders take on more strategic responsibilities.

In my next article, I’ll explore how AI 2.0 is accelerating this transformation, creating new leadership challenges and opportunities. We’ll examine whether CIOs can adapt or if we’re witnessing the emergence of a new era in executive leadership.


 

Stay tuned for Part 2: AI 2.0 as the Catalyst.

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